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import { randomUUID } from "node:crypto";
import { loadConfig } from "../config/loader.js";
import { getDb } from "../storage/db.js";
import { getBacktestBroker } from "../broker/index.js";
import { getStockOhlcv, getIndexOhlcv, type Bar, findLastBarIndex } from "../data/sources/dnsePublic.js";
import { DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE, discoverTickers } from "../tools/discover.js";
import { setActiveAsOf } from "./clock.js";
import { runTeamAnalysis } from "./team/index.js";
import type { FinalDecision, TeamEvent } from "./team/state.js";
import { checkOrder } from "../risk/guardrails.js";
import type { BrokerPosition, Order, PlaceOrderInput } from "../broker/types.js";
const BACKTEST_STRATEGY_NAME = "team-default";
const BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_CRITERION = "momentum";
const BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE = "default";
export const BACKTEST_DEFAULT_INTERVAL = "30m";
const BACKTEST_MAX_POSITION_PCT = 0.15;
const BACKTEST_MAX_DRAWDOWN_FLOOR = 0.15;
const BACKTEST_DEFAULT_CANDIDATES = 3;
const BACKTEST_MAX_CANDIDATES = 5;
export interface BacktestOptions {
start: string;
end: string;
initialCash: number;
/** Replay cadence. Supports 30m, 60m, 1h, 2h, etc. Default: 30m. */
interval?: string;
/** Number of discovered names to run through the full team each interval. */
maxCandidates?: number;
}
export interface EquityPayload {
asOf: number;
dateIso: string;
cashVnd: number;
mtmVnd: number;
benchmarkMtmVnd: number;
}
export interface SummaryPayload {
runId: string;
strategy: string;
start: string;
end: string;
initialCash: number;
finalMtm: number;
finalBench: number;
totalReturn: number;
benchReturn: number;
maxDD: number;
totalCost: number;
totalInTokens: number;
totalOutTokens: number;
interval: string;
intervals: number;
/** @deprecated use intervals */
sessions: number;
/** @deprecated use intervals */
weeks: number;
trades: number;
rejectedTrades: number;
reportPath: string | null;
}
export interface BacktestCallbacks {
onStart?: (info: { runId: string; strategy: string; brokerName: string; interval: string; turns: number[]; fridays: number[]; universe: string[] }) => void;
onTurnStart?: (info: { asOf: number; dateIso: string }) => void;
onTeamEvent?: (ev: TeamEvent, ctx: { asOf: number; dateIso: string; ticker: string }) => void;
onOrder?: (order: Order, ctx: { asOf: number; dateIso: string; decision: FinalDecision }) => void;
onEquity?: (eq: EquityPayload) => void;
onTurnError?: (err: Error, ctx: { asOf: number; dateIso: string }) => void;
onComplete?: (summary: SummaryPayload) => void;
signal?: AbortSignal;
}
function isoSec(d: string, time = "15:00:00"): number {
const t = Date.parse(`${d}T${time}+07:00`);
if (Number.isNaN(t)) throw new Error(`bad date: ${d}`);
return Math.floor(t / 1000);
}
function ictLabel(epochSec: number): string {
const d = new Date(epochSec * 1000 + 7 * 3600 * 1000);
return d.toISOString().slice(0, 16).replace("T", " ");
}
function parseBacktestInterval(value: string | undefined): { label: string; minutes: number } {
const raw = (value ?? BACKTEST_DEFAULT_INTERVAL).trim().toLowerCase();
const m = raw.match(/^(\d+)\s*(m|min|h|hr)$/);
if (!m) throw new Error(`bad interval: ${value}. Use 30m, 1h, 2h, etc.`);
const n = Number.parseInt(m[1]!, 10);
const unit = m[2]!;
const minutes = unit.startsWith("h") ? n * 60 : n;
if (minutes < 30 || minutes % 30 !== 0) {
throw new Error(`bad interval: ${value}. Interval must be 30 minutes or a multiple of 30 minutes.`);
}
if (minutes > 24 * 60) {
throw new Error(`bad interval: ${value}. Interval must be 24h or shorter.`);
}
return { label: minutes % 60 === 0 ? `${minutes / 60}h` : `${minutes}m`, minutes };
}
function intervalCloses(vnindexBars: Bar[], startSec: number, endSec: number, intervalMinutes: number): number[] {
const base = vnindexBars
.filter((b) => b.time >= startSec && b.time <= endSec)
.map((b) => b.time)
.sort((a, b) => a - b);
const step = Math.max(1, Math.round(intervalMinutes / 30));
if (step === 1) return base;
const out: number[] = [];
for (let i = step - 1; i < base.length; i += step) out.push(base[i]!);
const last = base[base.length - 1];
if (last != null && out[out.length - 1] !== last) out.push(last);
return out;
}
function lotRound(qty: number): number {
return Math.floor(qty / 100) * 100;
}
function positionValue(p: BrokerPosition, price: number | null): number {
return (price ?? p.avgCost) * p.quantity * 1000;
}
function throwIfAborted(signal: AbortSignal | undefined): void {
if (signal?.aborted) throw new Error("aborted");
}
async function markToMarket(
broker: Awaited<ReturnType<typeof getBacktestBroker>>,
priceAt: (ticker: string) => number | null,
): Promise<number> {
const snap = await broker.snapshot();
return snap.positions.reduce(
(sum, p) => sum + positionValue(p, priceAt(p.ticker)),
snap.cashVnd,
);
}
async function recordGuardrailReject(
broker: Awaited<ReturnType<typeof getBacktestBroker>>,
input: PlaceOrderInput,
reasons: string[],
): Promise<Order> {
const reason = `guardrail_blocked: ${reasons.join("; ")}`;
return broker.recordRejectedOrder
? broker.recordRejectedOrder(input, reason)
: broker.placeOrder(input);
}
async function submitOrder(
broker: Awaited<ReturnType<typeof getBacktestBroker>>,
input: PlaceOrderInput,
refPrice: number,
): Promise<Order> {
const guard = await checkOrder(broker, input, refPrice);
if (!guard.ok) return recordGuardrailReject(broker, input, guard.reasons);
return broker.placeOrder(input);
}
async function applyTeamDecision(args: {
broker: Awaited<ReturnType<typeof getBacktestBroker>>;
decision: FinalDecision;
equityVnd: number;
price: number | null;
maxPositionPct: number;
freezeBuys: boolean;
}): Promise<Order | null> {
const { broker, decision, equityVnd, price, maxPositionPct, freezeBuys } = args;
if (price == null || equityVnd <= 0) return null;
const snap = await broker.snapshot();
const current = snap.positions.find((p) => p.ticker === decision.ticker);
const currentQty = current?.quantity ?? 0;
const currentValue = currentQty * price * 1000;
const requestedPct = Math.max(0, Math.min(decision.sizingPct, maxPositionPct));
const targetValue =
decision.rating === "Sell"
? 0
: decision.rating === "Underweight"
? Math.min(currentValue, requestedPct * equityVnd)
: decision.rating === "Hold"
? currentValue
: requestedPct * equityVnd;
const deltaValue = targetValue - currentValue;
if ((decision.rating === "Buy" || decision.rating === "Overweight") && freezeBuys) {
return recordGuardrailReject(
broker,
{
ticker: decision.ticker,
side: "BUY",
type: "MARKET",
quantity: 100,
notes: "team backtest buy blocked by defensive freeze",
},
["drawdown circuit breaker active: BUY orders are frozen this turn"],
);
}
if (deltaValue > price * 1000 * 100) {
const qty = lotRound(deltaValue / (price * 1000));
if (qty <= 0) return null;
return submitOrder(
broker,
{
ticker: decision.ticker,
side: "BUY",
type: "MARKET",
quantity: qty,
notes: `team ${decision.rating}: ${(decision.sizingPct * 100).toFixed(1)}% target`,
},
price,
);
}
if (deltaValue < -price * 1000 * 100 && currentQty > 0) {
const qty = Math.min(currentQty, lotRound(Math.abs(deltaValue) / (price * 1000)));
if (qty <= 0) return null;
return submitOrder(
broker,
{
ticker: decision.ticker,
side: "SELL",
type: "MARKET",
quantity: qty,
notes: `team ${decision.rating}: reduce to ${(requestedPct * 100).toFixed(1)}% target`,
},
price,
);
}
return null;
}
export async function runBacktestSession(
opts: BacktestOptions,
cb: BacktestCallbacks = {},
): Promise<SummaryPayload> {
const cfg = loadConfig();
const universe = [...DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE];
const db = getDb();
const maxCandidates = Math.max(
1,
Math.min(opts.maxCandidates ?? BACKTEST_DEFAULT_CANDIDATES, BACKTEST_MAX_CANDIDATES),
);
const interval = parseBacktestInterval(opts.interval);
const startSec = isoSec(opts.start, "00:00:00");
const endSec = isoSec(opts.end);
if (endSec <= startSec) throw new Error("end must be after start");
const runId = randomUUID();
const brokerName = `paper-bt-${runId.slice(0, 8)}`;
const broker = getBacktestBroker(brokerName, opts.initialCash);
broker.reset(opts.initialCash);
const fetchFrom = startSec - 7 * 86400;
const fetchTo = endSec + 7 * 86400;
const bars: Record<string, Bar[]> = {};
for (const t of universe) {
bars[t] = await getStockOhlcv(t, "30", fetchFrom, fetchTo);
if (cb.signal?.aborted) throw new Error("aborted");
}
const vnindex = await getIndexOhlcv("VNINDEX", "30", fetchFrom, fetchTo);
const intervalTurns = intervalCloses(vnindex, startSec, endSec, interval.minutes);
if (intervalTurns.length === 0) throw new Error(`no ${interval.label} trading intervals in range`);
cb.onStart?.({ runId, strategy: BACKTEST_STRATEGY_NAME, brokerName, interval: interval.label, turns: intervalTurns, fridays: intervalTurns, universe });
db.prepare(
`INSERT INTO backtest_runs
(id, persona, start_date, end_date, cadence, initial_cash_vnd, config_json, created_at)
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)`,
).run(
runId,
BACKTEST_STRATEGY_NAME,
startSec,
endSec,
interval.label,
opts.initialCash,
JSON.stringify({
universe,
model: cfg.model,
broker: brokerName,
strategy: BACKTEST_STRATEGY_NAME,
engine: "team",
interval: interval.label,
maxCandidates,
discoveryCriterion: BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_CRITERION,
discoveryUniverse: BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE,
maxPositionPct: BACKTEST_MAX_POSITION_PCT,
maxDrawdownFloor: BACKTEST_MAX_DRAWDOWN_FLOOR,
}),
Math.floor(Date.now() / 1000),
);
const vnindexAt = (asOf: number): number | null => {
const idx = findLastBarIndex(vnindex, asOf);
return idx >= 0 ? vnindex[idx]!.close : null;
};
const vnindexBaseline = vnindexAt(intervalTurns[0]!);
if (vnindexBaseline == null) throw new Error(`no VNINDEX data at first ${interval.label} turn`);
let peakMtm = opts.initialCash;
let freezeBuys = false;
try {
for (const asOf of intervalTurns) {
throwIfAborted(cb.signal);
const dateIso = ictLabel(asOf);
const priceOverride = (sym: string): number | null => {
const symBars = bars[sym];
if (!symBars || symBars.length === 0) return null;
const idx = findLastBarIndex(symBars, asOf);
return idx >= 0 ? symBars[idx]!.close : null;
};
broker.setPriceOverride(priceOverride);
cb.onTurnStart?.({ asOf, dateIso });
const prompt = `Team backtest ${dateIso} ICT: ${interval.label} interval turn under T+2 settlement assumptions; discover ${BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_CRITERION}/${BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE}, analyze candidates, execute broker orders from final decisions.`;
let response = "";
let inTokens = 0;
let outTokens = 0;
let costUsd = 0;
try {
setActiveAsOf({ asOfSec: asOf, brokerName, freezeBuys });
const discovery = await discoverTickers({
criterion: BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_CRITERION,
universe: BACKTEST_DISCOVERY_UNIVERSE,
limit: maxCandidates,
});
const held = (await broker.snapshot()).positions.map((p) => p.ticker);
const tickers = Array.from(
new Set([...held, ...discovery.candidates.map((c) => c.ticker)]),
).slice(0, maxCandidates);
const decisions: FinalDecision[] = [];
for (const ticker of tickers) {
throwIfAborted(cb.signal);
const result = await runTeamAnalysis(
{ ticker, asOfDateIso: dateIso, debateRounds: 1 },
{
allowWebSearch: false,
signal: cb.signal,
emit: (ev) => {
cb.onTeamEvent?.(ev, { asOf, dateIso, ticker });
if (ev.type === "role_end") {
const usage = ev.usage ?? {};
inTokens += usage.inputTokens ?? 0;
outTokens += usage.outputTokens ?? 0;
costUsd += usage.costUsd ?? 0;
}
},
},
);
throwIfAborted(cb.signal);
decisions.push(result.decision);
response += `[${ticker}] ${result.decision.rating} ${(result.decision.sizingPct * 100).toFixed(1)}%: ${result.decision.rationale}\n`;
const equity = await markToMarket(broker, priceOverride);
const order = await applyTeamDecision({
broker,
decision: result.decision,
equityVnd: equity,
price: priceOverride(ticker),
maxPositionPct: Math.min(BACKTEST_MAX_POSITION_PCT, cfg.risk.max_position_pct),
freezeBuys,
});
if (order) cb.onOrder?.(order, { asOf, dateIso, decision: result.decision });
}
} catch (err) {
if ((err as Error).message === "aborted") throw err;
cb.onTurnError?.(err as Error, { asOf, dateIso });
} finally {
setActiveAsOf(null);
}
db.prepare(
`INSERT OR REPLACE INTO backtest_turns
(run_id, as_of, session_id, prompt, response, in_tokens, out_tokens, cost_usd,
cache_read_tokens, cache_creation_tokens)
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)`,
).run(runId, asOf, null, prompt, response, inTokens, outTokens, costUsd, 0, 0);
const snap = await broker.snapshot();
let mtm = snap.cashVnd;
for (const p of snap.positions) {
const px = priceOverride(p.ticker);
if (px != null) mtm += px * p.quantity * 1000;
}
const idxNow = vnindexAt(asOf) ?? vnindexBaseline;
const benchmarkMtm = opts.initialCash * (idxNow / vnindexBaseline);
db.prepare(
`INSERT OR REPLACE INTO backtest_equity
(run_id, as_of, cash_vnd, mtm_vnd, benchmark_mtm_vnd)
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?)`,
).run(runId, asOf, snap.cashVnd, mtm, benchmarkMtm);
cb.onEquity?.({ asOf, dateIso, cashVnd: snap.cashVnd, mtmVnd: mtm, benchmarkMtmVnd: benchmarkMtm });
peakMtm = Math.max(peakMtm, mtm);
const drawdown = 1 - mtm / peakMtm;
freezeBuys = drawdown > BACKTEST_MAX_DRAWDOWN_FLOOR;
}
} finally {
broker.setPriceOverride(null);
setActiveAsOf(null);
db.prepare("UPDATE backtest_runs SET finished_at = ? WHERE id = ?").run(
Math.floor(Date.now() / 1000),
runId,
);
}
const equityRows = db
.prepare("SELECT as_of, mtm_vnd, benchmark_mtm_vnd FROM backtest_equity WHERE run_id = ? ORDER BY as_of")
.all(runId) as { as_of: number; mtm_vnd: number; benchmark_mtm_vnd: number }[];
const turnRows = db
.prepare("SELECT in_tokens, out_tokens, cost_usd FROM backtest_turns WHERE run_id = ?")
.all(runId) as { in_tokens: number; out_tokens: number; cost_usd: number }[];
const orderRows = db
.prepare("SELECT * FROM broker_orders WHERE broker = ? AND status = 'FILLED' ORDER BY created_at")
.all(brokerName) as Array<{ ticker: string; side: string; filled_price: number; filled_qty: number; created_at: number }>;
const rejectedOrderRows = db
.prepare("SELECT * FROM broker_orders WHERE broker = ? AND status = 'REJECTED' ORDER BY created_at")
.all(brokerName) as Array<{ ticker: string; side: string; quantity: number; reject_reason: string | null; created_at: number }>;
const last = equityRows[equityRows.length - 1];
const finalMtm = last?.mtm_vnd ?? opts.initialCash;
const finalBench = last?.benchmark_mtm_vnd ?? opts.initialCash;
const totalReturn = (finalMtm / opts.initialCash - 1) * 100;
const benchReturn = (finalBench / opts.initialCash - 1) * 100;
let runningPeak = opts.initialCash;
const maxDD = equityRows.reduce((mn, r) => {
runningPeak = Math.max(runningPeak, r.mtm_vnd);
return Math.min(mn, r.mtm_vnd / runningPeak - 1);
}, 0);
const totalCost = turnRows.reduce((s, r) => s + (r.cost_usd ?? 0), 0);
const totalIn = turnRows.reduce((s, r) => s + (r.in_tokens ?? 0), 0);
const totalOut = turnRows.reduce((s, r) => s + (r.out_tokens ?? 0), 0);
const summary: SummaryPayload = {
runId,
strategy: BACKTEST_STRATEGY_NAME,
start: opts.start,
end: opts.end,
initialCash: opts.initialCash,
finalMtm,
finalBench,
totalReturn,
benchReturn,
maxDD,
totalCost,
totalInTokens: totalIn,
totalOutTokens: totalOut,
interval: interval.label,
intervals: equityRows.length,
sessions: equityRows.length,
weeks: equityRows.length,
trades: orderRows.length,
rejectedTrades: rejectedOrderRows.length,
reportPath: null,
};
cb.onComplete?.(summary);
return summary;
}